Rabu, 02 September 2015

Free Download Bundle: Forecasting: Practice and Process for Demand Management (with CD-ROM) + SPSS Integrated Student Version 16.0By Hans Levenbach, J

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How do forecast managers and planners create forecasts for products and services? FORECASTING: PRACTICE AND PROCESS FOR DEMAND MANAGEMENT covers topics ranging from macroeconomic forecasting procedures to specific product-level forecasting. This is a must-have book for anyone interested in pursuing this field!

  • Published on: 2008-04-29
  • Binding: Hardcover

About the Author
Hans Levenbach starts his career at AT&T Bell Laboratories as an applied statistician, participating in forecasting project and developing analytical support systems for the Bell Operating Companies. Over the years he has many years of teaching experience as Adjunct Professor in the Business Schools of Columbia University and New York University. In 1996, he was a Visiting Professor at the Stern School of Business at NYU. In his professional life, he served as President, Treasurer and Board member of the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF). In June 2003 he was elected Fellow of the IIF. Hans graduated from Acadia University (Canada) with a degree in Physics and Mathematics, and received an MSc in Electrical Engineering from Queen's University (Canada) and an M.A. and Ph.D. in Mathematical Statistics from the University of Toronto. Hans is involved in all aspects of the company and particularly enjoys working with forecasting practitioners and software developers.

James P. Cleary held a number of leadership positions in marketing and finance at AT&T, Lucent Technologies, Avaya, and New York Telephone Company. Recently, he developed market sizing and quantified business case value propositions that demonstrated the product benefits from the perspectives of the end users, the service providers and the manufacturer. He directed the business management functions of strategic planning, business planning, forecasting and results analysis. He also led a forecast improvement team that improved the accuracy of the customer team demand forecasts. He was the Director-Market Research & Analysis in the Business Communications Services unit. His financial positions included the CFO-Data Communications Services and CFO-Computer Systems. Mr. Cleary developed courses in time series and econometric modeling for AT&T. He also developed a course for managers of the forecasting function.

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Senin, 24 Agustus 2015

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This is a completely revised edition of a highly successful book designed to serve as a handy comprehensive guide for correct interpretation of body language. Hedwig Lewis explains the `script' of body language in a systematic and graded manner. He highlights the physical and psychological aspects of non-verbal behaviour to enable professionals to become proficient in their interpretation

  • Sales Rank: #12096073 in Books
  • Published on: 2000-10-31
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.50" h x 7.25" w x .25" l, 1.10 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 268 pages

About the Author

Hedwig Lewis is an educationist and writer and has served as a lecturer and principal. He received the Rev T. A. Mathias Award for Innovative College Teachers from All India Association for Christian Higher Education (AIACHE), New Delhi, in 1993. He has authored 30 books and his publications are on wide-ranging subjects that fall under several categories: spirituality, prayer, skill-building, biographies, inspirational, history, festive, and e-book. Some of his most noticeable works are At Home With God (1991), Happiness Manufacturers (2001), Mirrors of Life (1998), Once Upon A Time (2010), Fun With Words (1983), and Gujarat Jesuits Remembered (2002). Several of his books have been translated into Spanish and Lithuanian; some have been translated into different regional languages, including the previous edition of Body Language, which was translated into Malayalam. Father Lewis is a Jesuit priest and can be reached at St Xavier’s College, Ahmedabad (Gujarat, India).

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Minggu, 09 Agustus 2015

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Title: Panzer Commander

  • Sales Rank: #2258238 in Books
  • Published on: 1989
  • Binding: Hardcover

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Sabtu, 01 Agustus 2015

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Transit (New York Review Books Classics), by Anna Seghers

Review

“This novel, completed in 1942, is in my opinion the most beautiful Seghers has written. . . . I doubt that our post-1933 literature can point to many novels that have been written with such somnambulistic sureness and are almost flawless.” —Heinrich Böll“Tranist belongs to those books that entered my life, and to which I continue to engage with in my writing, so much that I have to pick it up every couple years to see what has happened between me and it.” —Christa Wolf“Transit is Seghers' best full-length novel. And Transit may be the greatest Exilroman ever…” —Dialog International   “Anna Seghers in Transit has painted a grim and crowded picture of Marseille when it was still a port of possible escape for the fugitives of all Europe…[Transit’s] very air of confusion and blind groping is consonant with its theme…it is credible and arresting…there is an amazing variety and reality in event the least of the characters.” —Christian Science Monitor   “No reader will question the author’s sincerity as she strives to anatomize the refugee mind.” —The New York Times Book Review  "What makes Miss Seghers's story so convincing is the human authenticity of her characters, and the masterly panorama of Vichy Marseille, that 'tiny spigot through which the world flood of Europe's fleeing thousands sought to pour.' Often as that heart-choking picture has been drawn before, both in factual reports and fiction, Miss Seghers's presentation will stir the reader's imagination to its depth." —The Saturday Review"On its own, this story is an important untold story of the refugee situation in Second World War-era Europe, but in its own grappling with its allegorical nature, Segher transforms the book into a masterpiece. Seghers balances these two impulses in telling her story with an existential, theological layer. The situation of these refugees mimics the course of the human soul." —Joe Winkler, Vol 1. Brooklyn

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About the Author

Anna Seghers (née Netty Reiling; 1900–1983) was born in Mainz, Germany, into an upper-middle-class Jewish family. She was a sickly and introverted child by her own account, but became an intellectually curious student, eventually earning a doctorate in art history at the University of Heidelberg in 1924; her first story, written under the name Antje Seghers, was published in the same year. In 1925 she married a Hungarian immigrant economist and began her writing career in earnest. By 1929 Seghers had joined the Communist Party, given birth to her first child, and received the Kleist Prize for her first novel, The Revolt of the Fisherman. Having settled in France in 1933, Seghers was forced to flee again after the 1940 Nazi invasion. With the aid of Varian Fry, Seghers, her husband, and two children sailed from Marseille to Mexico on a ship that included among its passengers Victor Serge, André Breton, and Claude Lévi-Strauss. After the war she moved to East Berlin, where she became an emblematic figure of East German letters, actively championing the work of younger writers from her position as president of the Writers Union and publishing at a steady pace. Among Seghers’s internationally regarded works are The Seventh Cross (1939; adapted for film in 1944 by MGM), one of the only World War II–era depictions of Nazi concentration camps; the novella Excursion of the Dead Girls (1945); The Dead Stay Young (1949); and the story collection Benito’s Blue (1973).Margot Bettauer Dembo has translated works by Judith Hermann, Robert Gernhardt, Joachim Fest, Ödön von Horváth, Feridun Zaimoglu, and Hermann Kant, among others. She was awarded the Goethe-Institut/Berlin Translator’s Prize in 1994 and the Helen and Kurt Wolff Translator’s Prize in 2003. Dembo also worked as a translator for two feature documentary films, The Restless Conscience, which was nominated for an Academy Award, and The Burning Wall.Peter Conrad was born in Australia, and since 1973 has taught English literature at Christ Church, Oxford. He has published nineteen books on a variety of subjects; among the best known are Modern Times, Modern Places; A Song of Love and Death; The Everyman History of English Literature; and studies of Alfred Hitchcock and Orson Welles. His most recent book is Creation: Artists, Gods and Origins. He has contributed features and reviews to many magazines and newspapers, including The New York Times, The New Yorker, The Observer, the New Statesman, The Guardian, and The Monthly.Heinrich Böll (1917–1985) was one of Germany’s foremost post–World War II writers. He wrote short stories, essays, plays, and novels, the most famous of which are Billiards at Half-Past Nine, The Clown, Group Portrait with Lady, and The Lost Honor of Katharina Blum. Böll was awarded the Georg Büchner Prize in 1967 and the Nobel Prize in Literature in 1972.

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Product details

Series: New York Review Books Classics

Paperback: 280 pages

Publisher: NYRB Classics; Main edition (May 7, 2013)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 1590176251

ISBN-13: 978-1590176252

Product Dimensions:

5 x 0.6 x 8 inches

Shipping Weight: 8 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

3.9 out of 5 stars

23 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#49,226 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

I read this in preparation for helping a group of students thoroughly understand it, but early-on I knew many of them were going to give up before chapter three! There are many characters that you have to keep up on, and the multiple voices in the text are problematical, even for me, amore-than-forty-years veteran of the classroom teaching English and American literature. In studying Seghers' background and her history didshed light on why her characters are so conflicted, but even that information didn't help many of the students (high school). A solid knowledge ofWWII and a background in psychology and sociology would help!

From the first paragraph it puts you inside the mind of a man--the narrator--who is fleeing the Nazi advance into France in 1939. He gets to Marseille, where he has to decide whether he wants to try to leave on one of the last ships. Marseille is claustrophobic. It offers only boredom, muted terror, and the frenetic but likely senseless activity of convincing bureaucrats to issue visas and tickets to leave. We wait with the narrator in one dismal café or other where the mistral blows endlessly outside and you can't get a drink unless it's an "alcohol day."Like Humphrey Bogart's character in Casablanca, the narrator is in love with a woman married to another man, but Marseille is no Hollywood movie set. Thoughts and feelings become unstable, then warp under the strain. The decision to leave Europe behind forever is not easy. A family where all except the grandmother have been granted visas refuse to leave even though the grandmother is certain to die within a few months and then all the others will all be interned. Marie, with whom the narrator has fallen in love, hesitates again and again because she refuses to accept that her husband the novelist Weidel is dead. The narrator too is confused. He says he doesn't want to leave, then puts all his energy and cunning into trying to get a transit visa.We know little about the nameless narrator. He escaped first from a German concentration camp and then from a French work camp, but he does not seem ideological or especially political. He seems to be an ordinary person who just hates Nazis: "their murderous commands and objectionable insistence on obedience, their disgusting boasts." For this reason it's not possible to read Transit and think: "well, that wouldn't have happened to me back then" or "that can never happen to me." This is one of Seghers' major achievements.One of the most moving moments is when the narrator reads Weidel's unpublished novel. It's the first novel the narrator has ever finished, and the beauty of the prose makes him feel that German is once more his language--the language of his childhood and youth, before the Nazis commandeered and disfigured it. This may not be what most people think of when they think of Nazi crimes, but for the narrator it is a very real, deeply personal loss. Perhaps Anna Seghers hoped her novel would reclaim and renew the German language for its first readers in the same way. Beautifully translated by Margot Bettauer Dembo, this English language version has the same simplicity and strength of feeling as Seghers' original prose.

This is one of those rare books about WWII that is written before the war is over. Neither the author nor the protagonists know who will ultimately win. Is it better to be imprisoned by the Germans or the Free French? Will Hitler take Marseille? Which is worse for one's visa prospects -- having fought for Franco or having lost one's identification papers in a concentration camp? Does escaping from the Germans make you friend or foe? America is still neutral. South America is still free of Nazis. How long will that last? All of which adds to this wonderful story about humans, indeed an entire continent, in limbo.

AcaDec selection for the coming school year, never heard about WWII through this perspective, great read!

"Transit"'s protagonist has been in double exile/triple imprisonment. He is an anti-Nazi, German political refugee who has escaped two prison camps to fall into a wider confinement in the city of Marseilles awaiting an uncertain next destination. Amplifying the effect of this limbo is the man's assumption of another's identity. Every action he takes, every relationship he has, is done in another man's name and with another's man's resume.Author Anna Seghers, herself a WWII refugee, has written the definitive story of displacement. The plight of the people continuously lining up for visas, waiting for ship departures and living off war and political rumor is palpable to the extreme, making the novel intensely uncomfortable at times. This is all in contrast to the rather clear evoking of wartime Marseilles, with its neighborhoods, harbor, cafes, shops etc. The characters in the story--all refugees or temporary residents--are like ghosts floating through the ancient and very solid city.Thought-provoking and worth reading if for no other reason than to experience the feeling of total disconnection and uncertainty that are the lot of refugees of any period. It certainly provides some insight into what is happening today on Lampedusa or in Northern Syria or several regions of Asia. Things we should know about and react to.

"Transit" provides a rare picture of everyday life in the early WWII era, the life of those waiting and hoping to migrate out of Europe and away from war. Through an unusual love story the reader experiences the complications, anxiety, heartbreak and daily challenges of those in transit. The narrative from the perspective of one man makes the story easy to read and enjoyable even though the character himself isn't always particularly likeable.

Great book

Awesome thanks

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Jumat, 31 Juli 2015

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Kamis, 30 Juli 2015

Download Statistics for The Behavioral and Social Sciences: A Brief CourseBy Elaine N. Aron, Arthur Aron Elliot Coups

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Statistics for The Behavioral and Social Sciences: A Brief CourseBy Elaine N. Aron, Arthur Aron Elliot Coups


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Brand New, International Ed/Global Ed, Mainly Same content at bargain price

  • Sales Rank: #576597 in Books
  • Published on: 2010
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 10.98" h x .87" w x 8.50" l, 2.23 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback

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Jumat, 10 Juli 2015

Free Download The Darwin ConspiracyBy John Darnton

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The Darwin ConspiracyBy John Darnton

In this riveting new novel, bestselling author John Darnton transports us to Victorian England and around the world to reveal the secrets of a legendary nineteenth-century figure. Darnton elegantly blends the power of fact and the insights of fiction to explore the many mysteries attached to the life and work of Charles Darwin.

What led Darwin to the theory of evolution? Why did he wait twenty-two years to write On the Origin of Species? Why was he incapacitated by mysterious illnesses and frightened of travel? Who was his secret rival?

These are some of the questions driving Darnton’s richly dramatic narrative, which unfolds through three vivid points of view: Darwin’s own as he sails around the world aboard the Beagle; his daughter Lizzie’s as she strives to understand the guilt and fear that struck her father at the height of his fame; and that of present-day anthropologist Hugh Kellem and Darwin scholar Beth Dulcimer, whose obsession with Darwin (and with each other) drives them beyond the accepted boundaries of scholarly research.

What Hugh and Beth discover―Lizzie’s diaries and letters lead them to a hidden chapter of Darwin’s autobiography―is a maze of bitter rivalries, petty deceptions, and jealously guarded secrets, at the heart of which lies the birth of the theory of evolution.

  • Published on: 2015-08-18
  • Formats: Audiobook, MP3 Audio, Unabridged
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 6.75" h x .50" w x 5.25" l,
  • Running time: 12 Hours
  • Binding: MP3 CD

From Publishers Weekly
Darwin's theories have been under attack since he first published The Origin of Species in 1859, but this grandly ambitious novel goes a few steps further to intimate that he was a fraud—and a murderer. Told by turns from three perspectives, the story opens in the present on a volcanic outcrop off the coast of Ecuador where Hugh Kellem, a British field researcher, while tracing Darwin's research path, meets Beth Dulcimer, a beautiful scientist rumored to be distantly related to Darwin. A quick shift shows an ambitious young Darwin about to embark on the Beagle. A little further on, Darwin's youngest daughter, Lizzie, enters via her journal entries, written in the 1870s, decades after Darwin's famous five-year voyage. As the three perspectives unfold, Hugh and Beth find themselves trying to solve the same mystery that intrigued Lizzie 130 years earlier: what happened on the "nuit de feu," the night that transformed the confident, robust Darwin into a haunted near-invalid for his remaining years? Stilted dialogue, perfunctory romance and expendable subplots make for a rough voyage, but Darnton (Neanderthal) puts real passion into his historical imaginings and recreations: the revelation of the "true" origin of the theory of evolution is particularly inspired and more than enough to sustain another Darntonian bestseller.
Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

From The New Yorker
Darnton's latest novel on scientific themes follows Hugh Kellem, an anthropologist whose study of Darwin's finches leads him to Cambridge, where, listlessly searching through Darwin's papers for a thesis topic, he stumbles upon a secret diary kept by Darwin's second daughter, Lizzie. Darnton interweaves Hugh's investigation with excerpts from Lizzie's writings and with flashbacks to Darwin's voyage aboard the Beagle. Both Darwin's daughter and the modern researcher become obsessed with the twenty-two-year gestation period between the voyage and Darwin's publication of his theory. The solution to the mystery manages to be not only fussily elaborate but fundamentally simplistic, and it involves too many dark hints and convenient coincidences. Still, Darnton has a good feel for both the Victorian era and the modern scientific milieu.
Copyright © 2006 The New Yorker

From Booklist
The mysteries behind Charles Darwin's stunning theory of evolution and natural selection form the crux of Darnton's novel, which blends history and imaginative drama to thought-provoking effect. Darnton tells his story from three perspectives: Charles Darwin as a young man enthralled by nature, growing into manhood and professional ambitions on his voyage aboard the Beagle to South America, where he first formulated his theories; Lizzie Darwin, the naturalist's youngest daughter, a budding feminist constrained by Victorian society who eventually stumbles across a secret that transforms her relationship with her father; and modern-day scholars Hugh Kellum and Beth Dulcimer who compete--then collaborate--in efforts to discover the genesis of Darwin's theory. Darnton weaves the three viewpoints across time and geography--from Galapagos to Oxford--uncovering long-lost letters and diaries that reveal the controversies provoked by Darwin's theory, as well as the personal and professional tensions that tortured the renowned naturalist and the loyalties that sustained him. Darnton expertly builds suspense as the stresses suffered by the characters--real and imagined, past and present--rise to a climax. Darnton once again displays the thrilling fast pace and intrigue, meticulous research, and strong character development that he demonstrated in Neanderthal (1996), The Experiment 1999), and Mind Catcher (2002). Vanessa Bush
Copyright © American Library Association. All rights reserved

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